GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/5/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hamrun Spartans are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 48.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamrun SpartansLLWLW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi Tel AvivLDWWW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hamrun SpartansMaccabi Tel Aviv
33.3Attack75.0
16.7Defence66.7
0.0Form75.0
21.5Power69.7
1.09xG2.05
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