Hamrun Spartansvs
Floriana
SCHEDULEDMalta · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamrun Spartans · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Hamrun Spartans are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Floriana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Floriana hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Premier League, while Hamrun Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hamrun Spartans
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
13.5%
Hamrun Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60