GGOALVIO

Malta · Premier League · 9/16/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamrun Spartans · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Hamrun Spartans are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Balzan FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamrun Spartans hold a 31.9-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.9% in the Premier League, while Hamrun Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamrun Spartans

Probability

74.9%

Model confidence

74.9%

Hamrun Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamrun SpartansWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Balzan FCDLLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hamrun SpartansBalzan FC
78.2Attack33.3
79.5Defence66.7
79.5Form33.3
77.2Power45.3
2.39xG0.56
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