Hamrun Spartansvs
Balzan FC
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/16/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamrun Spartans · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Hamrun Spartans are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Balzan FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamrun Spartans hold a 31.9-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.9% in the Premier League, while Hamrun Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hamrun Spartans
Probability
74.9%
Model confidence
74.9%
Hamrun Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40