Hampton & Richmondvs
Truro City
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Truro City · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hampton & Richmond 3-4 Truro City
Original prediction
Truro City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.69 | 19.4% | 22.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.8% | 25.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 56.8% | 52.3% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Truro City
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Truro City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80