GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hampton & Richmond are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Maidstone Utd are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maidstone Utd hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - South, favouring a draw with 13.1% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

27.6%

Model confidence

13.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hampton & RichmondLWLDL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Maidstone UtdLWWDW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hampton & RichmondMaidstone Utd
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
7.0Power23.7
1.46xG1.38
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