Hampton & Richmondvs
Maidstone Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maidstone Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hampton & Richmond 1-4 Maidstone Utd
Original prediction
Maidstone Utd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.62 | 25.1% | 22.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 22.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.3% | 54.3% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Maidstone Utd
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Maidstone Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20