Hampton & Richmondvs
Ebbsfleet United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbsfleet United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hampton & Richmond 0-2 Ebbsfleet United
Original prediction
Ebbsfleet United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.20 | 21.7% | 24.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.8% | 26.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 54.5% | 49.2% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Ebbsfleet United
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00