Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Hammarby are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Växjö are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hammarby hold a 40.4-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.5% in the Damallsvenskan, while Hammarby holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hammarby
Probability
91.5%
Model confidence
91.5%
Hammarby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00