Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hammarby are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vittsjö are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hammarby hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Damallsvenskan, while Hammarby holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hammarby
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
12.0%
Hammarby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00