Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hammarby W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Piteå W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hammarby W hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Damallsvenskan, while Hammarby W holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hammarby
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
11.7%
Hammarby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00