Hammarby Talangvs
Stocksund
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby Talang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hammarby Talang 2-1 Stocksund
Original prediction
Hammarby Talang
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.8% | 47.3% | -28.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.31 | 14.3% | 23.5% | 9.2 pts |
| Away | 9.10 | 9.9% | 29.2% | 19.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby Talang
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Hammarby Talang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80