Hammarby Talangvs
Sollentuna
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby Talang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hammarby Talang 1-0 Sollentuna
Original prediction
Hammarby Talang
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.8% | 42.8% | -27.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.04 | 17.9% | 24.3% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 7.99 | 11.3% | 32.9% | 21.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby Talang
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Hammarby Talang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60