Hammarby Talangvs
IF Karlstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby Talang · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hammarby Talang 2-1 IF Karlstad
Original prediction
Hammarby Talang
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.3% | 47.2% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 25.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.3% | 27.0% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby Talang
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Hammarby Talang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80