GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 5/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hammarby FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Hammarby FF are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vasteras SK FK are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hammarby FF hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (66.2 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.8% in the Allsvenskan, while Hammarby FF holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hammarby FF

Probability

76.8%

Model confidence

76.8%

Hammarby FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hammarby FFDDWLW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Vasteras SK FKWDLDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hammarby FFVasteras SK FK
75.0Attack52.1
68.8Defence39.6
62.5Form52.1
66.2Power49.5
3.05xG0.86
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