GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 5/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hammarby FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hammarby FF are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Malmo FF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hammarby FF hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (66.2 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Allsvenskan, while Hammarby FF holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hammarby FF

Probability

69.5%

Model confidence

69.5%

Hammarby FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hammarby FFLWWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Malmo FFLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hammarby FFMalmo FF
75.0Attack64.6
68.8Defence43.8
62.5Form47.9
66.2Power52.8
2.83xG1.07
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