Hammarby FFvs
Djurgardens IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hammarby FF 0-1 Djurgardens IF
Original prediction
Hammarby FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.5% | 45.3% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.4% | 25.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 23.1% | 28.8% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby FF
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Hammarby FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60