AllsvenskanAllsvenskan
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Hammarby FF

Hammarby FF

Home
WW
40
Full time
Degerfors IF

Degerfors IF

Away
LL
3Arena
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Hammarby FF(47%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Hammarby FF
47%
Draw
25%
Degerfors IF
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hammarby FF
73
Degerfors IF
9
Defence
Hammarby FF
82
Degerfors IF
46
Momentum
Hammarby FF
100
Degerfors IF
0
Danger (xG)
Hammarby FF
0.00
Degerfors IF
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Hammarby FF)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Degerfors IF)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Hammarby FF)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Degerfors IF)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
WWWL
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
LLD

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Hammarby FF47%
Draw25%
Degerfors IF28%

Hammarby FF leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Hammarby FF head into this in Allsvenskan fixture at 3Arena in decent form (WW), while Degerfors IF arrive in mixed form (LL). Hammarby FF have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Degerfors IF over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Hammarby FF's strong attack (73/100) faces a average Degerfors IF defence (46/100), while Degerfors IF's attack is up against a watertight Hammarby FF backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Hammarby FF's favour.

Hammarby FF have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Degerfors IF have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Hammarby FF have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Degerfors IF have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Hammarby FF and Degerfors IF in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Hammarby FF to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Hammarby FF 4725%, Draw 2505%, Degerfors IF 2770%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Hammarby FF

Hammarby FF

W
vs Kalmar FF
12 Jul 2026
20
xG 0.0
W
@ IF Elfsborg
5 Jul 2026
21
xG 0.0
W
vs Malmo FF
17 May 2026
41
L
@ Mjallby AIF
14 May 2026
12
Degerfors IF

Degerfors IF

L
@ Vasteras SK FK
12 Jul 2026
02
xG 0.0
L
vs Malmo FF
4 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.0
D
@ Gais
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF?

GoalVio's model predicts Hammarby FF to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more