UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:00
Hammarby FF

Hammarby FF

Home
WW
11
Full time
Anderlecht

Anderlecht

Away
L
3Arena
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Hammarby FF(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Hammarby FF
43%
Draw
26%
Anderlecht
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hammarby FF
73
Anderlecht
34
Defence
Hammarby FF
82
Anderlecht
6
Momentum
Hammarby FF
100
Anderlecht
0
Danger (xG)
Hammarby FF
0.00
Anderlecht
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Hammarby FF)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Anderlecht)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Hammarby FF)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Anderlecht)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
WWWL
AnderlechtAnderlecht
L

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Hammarby FF43%
Draw26%
Anderlecht31%

Hammarby FF leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Hammarby FF head into this in UEFA Europa League fixture at 3Arena in decent form (WW), while Anderlecht arrive in mixed form (L). Hammarby FF have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Anderlecht over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Hammarby FF's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Anderlecht defence (6/100), while Anderlecht's attack is up against a watertight Hammarby FF backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Hammarby FF's favour.

Hammarby FF have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Anderlecht have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Hammarby FF have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Hammarby FF and Anderlecht in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Hammarby FF to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Hammarby FF 4347%, Draw 2580%, Anderlecht 3073%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Hammarby FF

Hammarby FF

W
vs Kalmar FF
12 Jul 2026
20
xG 0.0
W
@ IF Elfsborg
5 Jul 2026
21
xG 0.0
W
vs Malmo FF
17 May 2026
41
L
@ Mjallby AIF
14 May 2026
12
Anderlecht

Anderlecht

L
@ Union St. Gilloise
14 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht?

GoalVio's model predicts Hammarby FF to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more