GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/17/2023, 5:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicLWDDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Weston BearsWDDWW

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hamilton OlympicWeston Bears
61.9Attack76.2
39.7Defence47.6
33.3Form63.5
44.3Power62.4
2.02xG2.74
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