GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 2/23/2025, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Weston Bears are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicWLWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Weston BearsLWWWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicWeston Bears
61.9Attack76.2
39.7Defence47.6
33.3Form63.5
44.3Power62.4
2.02xG2.74
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