GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/3/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicWeston Bears
61.9Attack76.2
39.7Defence47.6
33.3Form63.5
44.3Power62.4
2.02xG2.74
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