GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/8/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ValentineWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicValentine
61.9Attack34.9
39.7Defence38.1
33.3Form39.7
44.3Power40.1
2.54xG1.18
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