GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/14/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ValentineLLDWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hamilton OlympicValentine
61.9Attack34.9
39.7Defence38.1
33.3Form39.7
44.3Power40.1
2.54xG1.18
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