GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/22/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while New Lambton are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

77.2%

Model confidence

77.2%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicNew Lambton
61.9Attack37.9
39.7Defence7.6
33.3Form18.2
44.3Power23.6
3.78xG1.22
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