Hamilton Olympicvs
Maitland
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/7/2023, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hamilton Olympic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Maitland are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20