GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/22/2025, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Maitland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicDDDLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MaitlandLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicMaitland
61.9Attack60.3
39.7Defence50.8
33.3Form61.9
44.3Power60.0
1.91xG2.16
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