GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/10/2024, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.3 against 46.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Lambton JaffasLWWDW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicLambton Jaffas
61.9Attack57.1
39.7Defence47.6
33.3Form34.9
44.3Power46.2
2.13xG1.95
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