GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/18/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

82.8%

Model confidence

82.8%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicWWLLD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 24 · avg 0.80/4.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Hamilton OlympicLake Macquarie
61.9Attack30.3
39.7Defence0.0
33.3Form6.1
44.3Power14.9
3.88xG0.95
View match centre →