GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/2/2024, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicEdgeworth Eagles
61.9Attack63.5
39.7Defence54.0
33.3Form61.9
44.3Power62.1
1.78xG2.28
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