GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/24/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cooks Hill United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cooks Hill United hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicLLWDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cooks Hill UnitedLLWLD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicCooks Hill United
61.9Attack61.9
39.7Defence46.0
33.3Form47.6
44.3Power51.1
2.15xG2.15
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