GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/14/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

74.6%

Model confidence

74.6%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicLLLWD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Charlestown City BluesLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicCharlestown City Blues
61.9Attack39.7
39.7Defence14.3
33.3Form22.2
44.3Power28.4
3.65xG1.29
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