GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/21/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Broadmeadow Magic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

65.5%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Broadmeadow MagicWWLWW

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicBroadmeadow Magic
61.9Attack81.0
39.7Defence63.5
33.3Form73.0
44.3Power71.8
1.37xG2.99
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