GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/6/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicLLWDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaWDDDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicBelmont Swansea
61.9Attack71.4
39.7Defence34.9
33.3Form55.6
44.3Power55.7
2.56xG2.52
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