GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/18/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 27 · avg 1.00/5.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Hamilton OlympicAdamstown Rosebuds
61.9Attack49.2
39.7Defence31.7
33.3Form33.3
44.3Power40.1
2.81xG1.66
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