League CupLeague Cup
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Hamilton Academical

Hamilton Academical

Home
WD
11
Full time
Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers

Away
DW
ZLX Stadium
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Hamilton Academical(41%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Hamilton Academical
41%
Draw
35%
Raith Rovers
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hamilton Academical
86
Raith Rovers
54
Defence
Hamilton Academical
27
Raith Rovers
82
Momentum
Hamilton Academical
67
Raith Rovers
67
Danger (xG)
Hamilton Academical
2.25
Raith Rovers
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Hamilton Academical)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Raith Rovers)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Hamilton Academical)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Raith Rovers)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical
WD
Raith RoversRaith Rovers
DW

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Hamilton Academical41%
Draw35%
Raith Rovers24%

Hamilton Academical leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Hamilton Academical head into this in League Cup fixture at ZLX Stadium in mixed form (WD), while Raith Rovers arrive in mixed form (DW). Hamilton Academical have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Raith Rovers over 2 games.

The model rates Hamilton Academical's attack at 86/100 against a 82/100 Raith Rovers defence, and Raith Rovers's attack at 54/100 against a 27/100 Hamilton Academical backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Hamilton Academical have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game at home. Raith Rovers have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Hamilton Academical and Raith Rovers in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Hamilton Academical to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Hamilton Academical 4058%, Draw 3500%, Raith Rovers 2442%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Hamilton Academical

Hamilton Academical

W
vs Clyde
15 May 2026
43
D
@ Clyde
12 May 2026
11
Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers

D
@ Kilmarnock
14 Jul 2026
00
W
vs Elgin City
11 Jul 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

GoalVio's model predicts Hamilton Academical to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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