Hamilton Academicalvs
Peterhead
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/3/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamilton Academical · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Hamilton Academical 2-0 Peterhead, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hamilton Academical 2-1 Peterhead
Original prediction
Hamilton Academical
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.8% | 74.8% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.36 | 20.9% | 15.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 7.39 | 12.3% | 9.4% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Projected Score
Hamilton Academical 2–0 Peterhead
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Hamilton Academical
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
74.8%
Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40