GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Academical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Hamilton Academical are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Montrose are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Academical hold an 85.8-point power-rating edge (96.0 v 10.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the League One, while Hamilton Academical holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Academical

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

64.4%

Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton AcademicalWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MontroseLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton AcademicalMontrose
100.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
96.0Power10.2
2.25xG0.89
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