Hamilton Academicalvs
East Fife
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamilton Academical · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Hamilton Academical 2-0 East Fife, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hamilton Academical 2-1 East Fife
Original prediction
Hamilton Academical
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 11:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.7% | 65.5% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 19.0% | 20.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 8.89 | 10.3% | 14.2% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Projected Score
Hamilton Academical 2–0 East Fife
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Hamilton Academical
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20