Hamilton Academicalvs
Cove Rangers
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamilton Academical · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hamilton Academical 1-0 Cove Rangers
Original prediction
Hamilton Academical
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.7% | 58.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.7% | 22.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.6% | 18.8% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Hamilton Academical
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80