GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Academical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hamilton Academical are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cove Rangers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Academical hold a 64.7-point power-rating edge (96.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the League One, while Hamilton Academical holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Academical

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton AcademicalDDWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cove RangersDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton AcademicalCove Rangers
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form16.7
96.0Power31.3
1.84xG0.90
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