Hamburger SV Wvs
Union Berlin W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamburger SV W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hamburger SV W 4-4 Union Berlin W
Original prediction
Hamburger SV W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 27.0% | 39.3% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.6% | 24.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 46.4% | 36.5% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Hamburger SV W
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Hamburger SV W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20