Hamburger SV Wvs
RB Leipzig W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamburger SV W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hamburger SV W 1-1 RB Leipzig W
Original prediction
Hamburger SV W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.0% | 40.2% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 43.6% | 33.3% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Hamburger SV W
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Hamburger SV W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00