Hamburger SV Wvs
Nürnberg W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamburger SV W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hamburger SV W 5-1 Nürnberg W
Original prediction
Hamburger SV W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.4% | 42.2% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.0% | 25.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 37.6% | 32.7% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Hamburger SV W
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Hamburger SV W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40