Hamburger SVvs
FC Copenhagen
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/4/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamburger SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hamburger SV 2-0 FC Copenhagen
Original prediction
Hamburger SV
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 12:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.1% | 38.2% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.5% | 26.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.4% | 35.6% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Hamburger SV
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Hamburger SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 13 · GA 0 · avg 2.60/0.00