Hamburger SV IIvs
VfB Oldenburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Oldenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 1-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hamburger SV II 1-2 VfB Oldenburg
Original prediction
VfB Oldenburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.04 | 17.9% | 11.5% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.3% | 12.7% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.8% | 75.8% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–49%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.1–57%
Predicted outcome
VfB Oldenburg
Probability
75.8%
Model confidence
75.8%
VfB Oldenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80