GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 8/12/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamburger SV II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hamburger SV II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while SV Drochtersen/Assel are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Drochtersen/Assel hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Regionalliga - Nord, while Hamburger SV II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamburger SV II

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Hamburger SV II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamburger SV IILLLDW

GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
SV Drochtersen/AsselDLLLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hamburger SV IISV Drochtersen/Assel
66.7Attack44.4
16.7Defence33.3
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power40.3
2.07xG1.72
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