Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Haman 3-1 Jincheon
Original prediction
Jincheon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.28 | 14.1% | 9.6% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.2% | 17.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 64.6% | 73.4% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
73.4%
Model confidence
73.4%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HamanLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JincheonWWLDD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HamanJincheon
35.2Attack66.7
42.6Defence70.4
31.5Form68.5
38.9Power67.8
0.62xG2.31