Hamanvs
Jecheon Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 10/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jecheon Citizen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Haman 1-3 Jecheon Citizen
Original prediction
Jecheon Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 27.3% | 32.5% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.5% | 27.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.2% | 39.7% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Jecheon Citizen
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Jecheon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40