GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K4 League · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Haman are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Geoje Citizen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Geoje Citizen hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (39.7 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the K4 League, while Geoje Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geoje Citizen

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

11.3%

Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HamanLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Geoje CitizenLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HamanGeoje Citizen
33.3Attack62.5
45.1Defence45.8
33.3Form43.8
39.7Power50.7
1.14xG1.95
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