Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ham-Kam 0-3 Rosenborg
Original prediction
Rosenborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.90 | 18.9% | 23.5% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 22.4% | 23.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 58.6% | 53.1% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Rosenborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ham-KamLWLWL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RosenborgWDWWW
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ham-KamRosenborg
47.8Attack62.3
30.4Defence55.1
37.7Form53.6
40.1Power56.6
1.33xG2.51