GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ham-Kam · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ham-Kam 2-2 Kristiansund BK

Original prediction

Ham-Kam

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8750.0%54.4%4.5 pts
Draw3.7325.1%23.4%-1.7 pts
Away3.7425.0%22.2%-2.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Ham-Kam

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Ham-Kam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ham-KamLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kristiansund BKLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ham-KamKristiansund BK
47.1Attack29.4
41.2Defence47.1
43.1Form29.4
44.9Power38.1
1.65xG0.93
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